4 GeoFroggy

Economy Overview

Albania, a formerly closed, centrally planned state, is a developing country with a modern open-market economy. Albania managed to weather the first waves of the global financial crisis but, the negative effects of the crisis caused a significant economic slowdown. Since 2014, Albania’s economy has steadily improved and economic growth reached 3.8% in 2017. However, close trade, remittance, and banking sector ties with Greece and Italy make Albania vulnerable to spillover effects of possible debt crises and weak growth in the euro zone.

 

Remittances, a significant catalyst for economic growth, declined from 12-15% of GDP before the 2008 financial crisis to 5.8% of GDP in 2015, mostly from Albanians residing in Greece and Italy. The agricultural sector, which accounts for more than 40% of employment but less than one quarter of GDP, is limited primarily to small family operations and subsistence farming, because of a lack of modern equipment, unclear property rights, and the prevalence of small, inefficient plots of land. Complex tax codes and licensing requirements, a weak judicial system, endemic corruption, poor enforcement of contracts and property issues, and antiquated infrastructure contribute to Albania's poor business environment making attracting foreign investment difficult. Since 2015, Albania has launched an ambitious program to increase tax compliance and bring more businesses into the formal economy. In July 2016, Albania passed constitutional amendments reforming the judicial system in order to strengthen the rule of law and to reduce deeply entrenched corruption.

 

Albania’s electricity supply is uneven despite upgraded transmission capacities with neighboring countries. However, the government has recently taken steps to stem non-technical losses and has begun to upgrade the distribution grid. Better enforcement of electricity contracts has improved the financial viability of the sector, decreasing its reliance on budget support. Also, with help from international donors, the government is taking steps to improve the poor road and rail networks, a long standing barrier to sustained economic growth.

 

Inward foreign direct investment has increased significantly in recent years as the government has embarked on an ambitious program to improve the business climate through fiscal and legislative reforms. The government is focused on the simplification of licensing requirements and tax codes, and it entered into a new arrangement with the IMF for additional financial and technical support. Albania’s three-year IMF program, an extended fund facility arrangement, was successfully concluded in February 2017. The Albanian Government has strengthened tax collection amid moderate public wage and pension increases in an effort to reduce its budget deficit. The country continues to face high public debt, exceeding its former statutory limit of 60% of GDP in 2013 and reaching 72% in 2016.

Agriculture Products

wheat, corn, potatoes, vegetables, fruits, olives and olive oil, grapes; meat, dairy products; sheep and goats

Industries

food; footwear, apparel and clothing; lumber, oil, cement, chemicals, mining, basic metals, hydropower

Industrial Production Growth Rate

6.8% (2017 est.)

Labor Force

1.198 million (2017 est.)

Labor Force by Occupation

Agriculture: 41.4%

Industry: 18.3%

Services: 40.3% (2017 est.)

Unemployment Rate

2017: 13.8%

2016: 15.2%

Population Below Poverty Line

14.3% (2012 est.)

Household Income or Consumption by Percentage Share

Lowest 10: 4.1%

Highest 10: 19.6% (2015 est.)

Distribution of Family Income Gini Index

2012: 29

2008: 30

Budget

Revenues: 3.614 billion (2017 est.)

Expenditures: 3.874 billion (2017 est.)

Public Debt

2017: 71.8% of GDP

2016: 73.2% of GDP

Central Bank Discount Rate

31 December 2017: 1.25%

31 December 2016: 1.25%

Commercial Bank Prime Lending Rate

31 December 2017: 8.22%

31 December 2016: 9.78%

Stock of Narrow Money

31 December 2017: $4.155 billion

31 December 2016: $3.397 billion

Stock of Broad Money

31 December 2017: $4.155 billion

31 December 2016: $3.397 billion

Stock of Domestic Credit

31 December 2017: $8.122 billion

31 December 2016: $7.065 billion

Market Value of Publicly Traded Shares

<p>NA</p>

Reserves of Foreign Exchange and Gold

31 December 2017: $3.59 billion

31 December 2016: $3.109 billion

Debt External

31 December 2017: $9.505 billion

31 December 2016: $8.421 billion

Stock of Direct Foreign Investment at Home

31 December 2016: $6.12 billion

31 December 2015: $5.452 billion

Stock of Direct Foreign Investment Abroad

Exchange Rates

Currency: leke (ALL) per US dollar -

Exchange rates:

Year

GDP Official Exchange Rate

  • $13.07 billion 2017 est.

Taxes and Other Revenues

  • 27.6% (of GDP) (2017 est.)

Budget Surplus or Deficit

  • -2% (of GDP) (2017 est.)

Fiscal Year

  • calendar year

GDP Purchasing Power Parity

  • 2017
    $36.01 billion
  • 2016
    $34.67 billion
  • 2015
    $33.55 billion

GDP Real Growth Rate

  • 2017
    3.8%
  • 2016
    3.4%
  • 2015
    2.2%

GDP Per Capital

  • 2017
    $12,500
  • 2016
    $12,100
  • 2015
    $11,600

Gross National Saving

  • 2017
    15.9% of GDP
  • 2016
    16.7% of GDP
  • 2015
    16.9% of GDP

GDP Composition by end Use

  • Household consumption
    78.1% (2017 est.)
  • Government consumption
    11.5% (2017 est.)
  • Investment in fixed capital
    25.2% (2017 est.)
  • Investment in inventories
    0.2% (2017 est.)
  • Exports of goods and services
    31.5% (2017 est.)
  • Imports of goods and services
    -46.6% (2017 est.)

GDP Composition by Sector of Origin

  • Agriculture
    21.7% (2017 est.)
  • Industry
    24.2% (2017 est.)
  • Services
    54.1% (2017 est.)

Inflation Rate Consumer Prices

  • 2017
    2%
  • 2016
    1.3%

Current Account Balance

  • 2017
    -$908 million
  • 2016
    -$899 million

Exports

  • 2017
    $900.7 million
  • 2016
    $789.1 million

Exports Partners

  • Italy
    53.4%
  • Kosovo
    7.7%
  • Spain
    5.6%
  • Greece
    4.2%

Exports Commodities

    Apparel and clothing, footwear; asphalt, metals and metallic ores, crude oil; cement and construction materials, vegetables, fruits, tobacco

Imports

  • 2017
    $4.103 billion
  • 2016
    $3.67 billion

Imports Partners

  • Italy
    28.5%
  • Turkey
    8.1%
  • Germany
    8%
  • Greece
    8%
  • China
    7.9%
  • Serbia
    4%

Imports Commodities

    Machinery and equipment, foodstuffs, textiles, chemicals