4 GeoFroggy

Economy Overview

Prior to the decline in global oil prices since 2014, Azerbaijan's high economic growth was attributable to rising energy exports and to some non-export sectors. Oil exports through the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan Pipeline, the Baku-Novorossiysk, and the Baku-Supsa Pipelines remain the main economic driver, but efforts to boost Azerbaijan's gas production are underway. The expected completion of the geopolitically important Southern Gas Corridor (SGC) between Azerbaijan and Europe will open up another source of revenue from gas exports. First gas to Turkey through the SGC is expected in 2018 with project completion expected by 2020-21.

Declining oil prices caused a 3.1% contraction in GDP in 2016, and a 0.8% decline in 2017, highlighted by a sharp reduction in the construction sector. The economic decline was accompanied by higher inflation, a weakened banking sector, and two sharp currency devaluations in 2015. Azerbaijan’s financial sector continued to struggle. In May 2017, Baku allowed the majority state-owed International Bank of Azerbaijan (IBA), the nation’s largest bank, to default on some of its outstanding debt and file for restructuring in Azerbaijani courts; IBA also filed in US and UK bankruptcy courts to have its restructuring recognized in their respective jurisdictions.

Azerbaijan has made limited progress with market-based economic reforms. Pervasive public and private sector corruption and structural economic inefficiencies remain a drag on long-term growth, particularly in non-energy sectors. The government has, however, made efforts to combat corruption, particularly in customs and government services. Several other obstacles impede Azerbaijan's economic progress, including the need for more foreign investment in the non-energy sector and the continuing conflict with Armenia over the Nagorno-Karabakh region. While trade with Russia and the other former Soviet republics remains important, Azerbaijan has expanded trade with Turkey and Europe and is seeking new markets for non-oil/gas exports - mainly in the agricultural sector - with Gulf Cooperation Council member countries, the US, and others. It is also improving Baku airport and the Caspian Sea port of Alat for use as a regional transportation and logistics hub.

Long-term prospects depend on world oil prices, Azerbaijan's ability to develop export routes for its growing gas production, and its ability to improve the business environment and diversify the economy. In late 2016, the president approved a strategic roadmap for economic reforms that identified key non-energy segments of the economy for development, such as agriculture, logistics, information technology, and tourism. In October 2017, the long-awaited Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway, stretching from the Azerbaijani capital to Kars in north-eastern Turkey, began limited service.

Agriculture Products

fruit, vegetables, grain, rice, grapes, tea, cotton, tobacco; cattle, pigs, sheep, goats

Industries

petroleum and petroleum products, natural gas, oilfield equipment; steel, iron ore; cement; chemicals and petrochemicals; textiles

Industrial Production Growth Rate

-3.8% (2017 est.)

Labor Force

5.118 million (2017 est.)

Labor Force by Occupation

Agriculture: 37%

Industry: 14.3%

Services: 48.9% (2014)

Unemployment Rate

2017: 5%

2016: 5%

Population Below Poverty Line

4.9% (2015 est.)

Household Income or Consumption by Percentage Share

Lowest 10: 3.4%

Highest 10: 27.4% (2008)

Distribution of Family Income Gini Index

2008: 33.7

2001: 36.5

Budget

Revenues: 9.556 billion (2017 est.)

Expenditures: 10.22 billion (2017 est.)

Public Debt

2017: 54.1% of GDP

2016: 50.7% of GDP

Central Bank Discount Rate

10 March 2017: 15%

14 September 2016: 15%

Commercial Bank Prime Lending Rate

31 December 2017: 12.7%

31 December 2016: 12.56%

Stock of Narrow Money

31 December 2017: $6.202 billion

31 December 2016: $5.06 billion

Stock of Broad Money

31 December 2017: $6.202 billion

31 December 2016: $5.06 billion

Stock of Domestic Credit

31 December 2017: $13.31 billion

31 December 2016: $13.44 billion

Market Value of Publicly Traded Shares

<p>NA</p>

Reserves of Foreign Exchange and Gold

31 December 2017: $6.681 billion

31 December 2016: $7.142 billion

Debt External

31 December 2017: $17.41 billion

31 December 2016: $13.83 billion

Stock of Direct Foreign Investment at Home

31 December 2017: $79.53 billion

31 December 2016: $73.83 billion

Stock of Direct Foreign Investment Abroad

31 December 2017: $19.6 billion

31 December 2016: $17.05 billion

Exchange Rates

Currency: Azerbaijani manats (AZN) per US dollar -

Exchange rates:

Year

GDP Official Exchange Rate

  • $40.67 billion 2017 est.

Taxes and Other Revenues

  • 23.5% (of GDP) (2017 est.)

Budget Surplus or Deficit

  • -1.6% (of GDP) (2017 est.)

Fiscal Year

  • calendar year

GDP Purchasing Power Parity

  • 2017
    $172.2 billion
  • 2016
    $172.1 billion
  • 2015
    $177.6 billion

GDP Real Growth Rate

  • 2017
    0.1%
  • 2016
    -3.1%
  • 2015
    0.6%

GDP Per Capital

  • 2017
    $17,500
  • 2016
    $17,700
  • 2015
    $18,500

Gross National Saving

  • 2017
    24.6% of GDP
  • 2016
    22.7% of GDP
  • 2015
    27.3% of GDP

GDP Composition by end Use

  • Household consumption
    57.6% (2017 est.)
  • Government consumption
    11.5% (2017 est.)
  • Investment in fixed capital
    23.6% (2017 est.)
  • Investment in inventories
    0.5% (2017 est.)
  • Exports of goods and services
    48.7% (2017 est.)
  • Imports of goods and services
    -42% (2017 est.)

GDP Composition by Sector of Origin

  • Agriculture
    6.1% (2017 est.)
  • Industry
    53.5% (2017 est.)
  • Services
    40.4% (2017 est.)

Inflation Rate Consumer Prices

  • 2017
    13%
  • 2016
    12.6%

Current Account Balance

  • 2017
    $1.685 billion
  • 2016
    -$1.363 billion

Exports

  • 2017
    $15.15 billion
  • 2016
    $13.21 billion

Exports Partners

  • Italy
    23.2%
  • Turkey
    13.6%
  • Israel
    6.1%
  • Russia
    5.4%
  • Germany
    5%
  • Czech
    Republic
  • Georgia
    4.3%

Exports Commodities

  • Oil and gas roughly
    90%

Imports

  • 2017
    $9.037 billion
  • 2016
    $9.004 billion

Imports Partners

  • Russia
    17.7%
  • Turkey
    14.8%
  • China
    9.9%
  • US
    8.3%
  • Ukraine
    5.3%
  • Germany
    5.1%

Imports Commodities

    Machinery and equipment, foodstuffs, metals, chemicals