4 GeoFroggy

Economy Overview

Bulgaria, a former communist country that entered the EU in 2007, has an open economy that historically has demonstrated strong growth, but its per-capita income remains the lowest among EU members and its reliance on energy imports and foreign demand for its exports makes its growth sensitive to external market conditions.

The government undertook significant structural economic reforms in the 1990s to move the economy from a centralized, planned economy to a more liberal, market-driven economy. These reforms included privatization of state-owned enterprises, liberalization of trade, and strengthening of the tax system - changes that initially caused some economic hardships but later helped to attract investment, spur growth, and make gradual improvements to living conditions. From 2000 through 2008, Bulgaria maintained robust, average annual real GDP growth in excess of 6%, which was followed by a deep recession in 2009 as the financial crisis caused domestic demand, exports, capital inflows and industrial production to contract, prompting the government to rein in spending. Real GDP growth remained slow - less than 2% annually - until 2015, when demand from EU countries for Bulgarian exports, plus an inflow of EU development funds, boosted growth to more than 3%. In recent years, strong domestic demand combined with low international energy prices have contributed to Bulgaria’s economic growth approaching 4% and have also helped to ease inflation. Bulgaria’s prudent public financial management contributed to budget surpluses both in 2016 and 2017.

Bulgaria is heavily reliant on energy imports from Russia, a potential vulnerability, and is a participant in EU-backed efforts to diversify regional natural gas supplies. In late 2016, the Bulgarian Government provided funding to Bulgaria’s National Electric Company to cover the $695 million compensation owed to Russian nuclear equipment manufacturer Atomstroyexport for the cancellation of the Belene Nuclear Power Plant project, which the Bulgarian Government terminated in 2012. As of early 2018, the government was floating the possibility of resurrecting the Belene project. The natural gas market, dominated by state-owned Bulgargaz, is also almost entirely supplied by Russia. Infrastructure projects such as the Inter-Connector Greece-Bulgaria and Inter-Connector Bulgaria-Serbia, which would enable Bulgaria to have access to non-Russian gas, have either stalled or made limited progress. In 2016, the Bulgarian Government established the State eGovernment Agency. This new agency is responsible for the electronic governance, coordinating national policies with the EU, and strengthening cybersecurity.

Despite a favorable investment regime, including low, flat corporate income taxes, significant challenges remain. Corruption in public administration, a weak judiciary, low productivity, lack of transparency in public procurements, and the presence of organized crime continue to hamper the country's investment climate and economic prospects.

Agriculture Products

vegetables, fruits, tobacco, wine, wheat, barley, sunflowers, sugar beets; livestock

Industries

electricity, gas, water; food, beverages, tobacco; machinery and equipment, automotive parts, base metals, chemical products, coke, refined petroleum, nuclear fuel; outsourcing centers

Industrial Production Growth Rate

3.6% (2017 est.)

Labor Force

3.357 million (2017 est.)

Labor Force by Occupation

Agriculture: 6.8%

Industry: 26.6%

Services: 66.6% (2016 est.)

Unemployment Rate

2017: 6.2%

2016: 7.7%

Population Below Poverty Line

23.4% (2016 est.)

Household Income or Consumption by Percentage Share

Lowest 10: 1.9%

Highest 10: 31.2% (2017)

Distribution of Family Income Gini Index

2017: 40.2

2016: 38.3

Budget

Revenues: 20.35 billion (2017 est.)

Expenditures: 19.35 billion (2017 est.)

Public Debt

2017: 23.9% of GDP

2016: 27.4% of GDP

Central Bank Discount Rate

31 December 2017: 0%

31 December 2015: 0.01%

Commercial Bank Prime Lending Rate

31 December 2017: 5.41%

31 December 2016: 6.39%

Stock of Narrow Money

31 December 2017: $29.27 billion

31 December 2016: $22.01 billion

Stock of Broad Money

31 December 2017: $29.27 billion

31 December 2016: $22.01 billion

Stock of Domestic Credit

31 December 2017: $33.44 billion

31 December 2016: $27.57 billion

Market Value of Publicly Traded Shares

31 December 2017: $14.49 billion

31 December 2016: $5.205 billion

31 December 2015: $4.797 billion

Reserves of Foreign Exchange and Gold

31 December 2017: $28.38 billion

31 December 2016: $25.13 billion

Debt External

31 December 2017: $42.06 billion

31 December 2016: $35.98 billion

Stock of Direct Foreign Investment at Home

31 December 2017: $46.92 billion

31 December 2016: $45.26 billion

Stock of Direct Foreign Investment Abroad

31 December 2017: $5.868 billion

31 December 2016: $4.988 billion

Exchange Rates

Currency: leva (BGN) per US dollar -

Exchange rates:

Year

GDP Official Exchange Rate

  • $56.94 billion 2017 est.

Taxes and Other Revenues

  • 35.7% (of GDP) (2017 est.)

Budget Surplus or Deficit

  • 1.8% (of GDP) (2017 est.)

Fiscal Year

  • calendar year

GDP Purchasing Power Parity

  • 2017
    $153.5 billion
  • 2016
    $148.2 billion
  • 2015
    $142.6 billion

GDP Real Growth Rate

  • 2017
    3.6%
  • 2016
    3.9%
  • 2015
    3.6%

GDP Per Capital

  • 2017
    $21,800
  • 2016
    $20,900
  • 2015
    $19,900

Gross National Saving

  • 2017
    25.4% of GDP
  • 2016
    21.4% of GDP
  • 2015
    21.2% of GDP

GDP Composition by end Use

  • Household consumption
    61.6% (2017 est.)
  • Government consumption
    16% (2017 est.)
  • Investment in fixed capital
    19.2% (2017 est.)
  • Investment in inventories
    1.7% (2017 est.)
  • Exports of goods and services
    66.3% (2017 est.)
  • Imports of goods and services
    -64.8% (2017 est.)

GDP Composition by Sector of Origin

  • Agriculture
    4.3% (2017 est.)
  • Industry
    28% (2017 est.)
  • Services
    67.4% (2017 est.)

Inflation Rate Consumer Prices

  • 2017
    1.2%
  • 2016
    -1.3%

Current Account Balance

  • 2017
    $2.562 billion
  • 2016
    $1.207 billion

Exports

  • 2017
    $29.08 billion
  • 2016
    $25.37 billion

Exports Partners

  • Germany
    13.5%
  • Italy
    8.3%
  • Romania
    8.2%
  • Turkey
    7.7%
  • Greece
    6.5%
  • Belgium
    4.2%
  • France
    4.1%

Exports Commodities

    Clothing, footwear, iron and steel, machinery and equipment, fuels, agriculture, tobacco, IT components

Imports

  • 2017
    $31.43 billion
  • 2016
    $26.66 billion

Imports Partners

  • Germany
    12.3%
  • Russia
    10.3%
  • Italy
    7.3%
  • Romania
    7.1%
  • Turkey
    6.2%
  • Spain
    5.3%
  • Greece
    4.4%

Imports Commodities

    Machinery and equipment; metals and ores; chemicals and plastics; fuels, minerals, and raw materials