4 GeoFroggy

Economy Overview

Belarus has seen little structural reform since 1995, when President LUKASHENKO launched the country on the path of "market socialism." In keeping with this policy, LUKASHENKO reimposed administrative controls over prices and currency exchange rates and expanded the state's right to intervene in the management of private enterprises. Since 2005, the government has re-nationalized a number of private companies. In addition, businesses have been subject to pressure by central and local governments, e.g., arbitrary changes in regulations, numerous rigorous inspections, retroactive application of new business regulations, and arrests of "disruptive" businessmen and factory owners. A wide range of redistributive policies has helped those at the bottom of the ladder; the Gini coefficient is among the lowest in the world. Because of these restrictive economic policies, Belarus has had trouble attracting foreign investment. Nevertheless, GDP growth has been strong in recent years, reaching nearly 7% in 2007, despite the roadblocks of a tough, centrally directed economy with a high, but decreasing, rate of inflation. Belarus receives heavily discounted oil and natural gas from Russia and much of Belarus' growth can be attributed to the re-export of Russian oil at market prices. Trade with Russia - by far its largest single trade partner - decreased in 2007, largely as a result of a change in the way the Value Added Tax (VAT) on trade was collected. Russia has introduced an export duty on oil shipped to Belarus, which will increase gradually through 2009, and a requirement that Belarusian duties on re-exported Russian oil be shared with Russia - 80% will go to Russia in 2008, and 85% in 2009. Russia also increased Belarusian natural gas prices from $47 per thousand cubic meters (tcm) to $100 per tcm in 2007, and plans to increase prices gradually to world levels by 2011. Russia's recent policy of bringing energy prices for Belarus to world market levels may result in a slowdown in economic growth in Belarus over the next few years. Some policy measures, including tightening of fiscal and monetary policies, improving energy efficiency, and diversifying exports, have been introduced, but external borrowing has been the main mechanism used to manage the growing pressures on the economy.

Agriculture Products

grain, potatoes, vegetables, sugar beets, flax; beef, milk

Industries

metal-cutting machine tools, tractors, trucks, earthmovers, motorcycles, televisions, synthetic fibers, fertilizer, textiles, radios, refrigerators

Industrial Production Growth Rate

5% (2007 est.)

Labor Force

4.3 million (31 December 2005)

Electricity production

29.91 billion kWh (2006 est.)

Electricity Consumption

30.43 billion kWh (2006 est.)

Electricity Exports

5.789 billion kWh (2006 est.)

Electricity Imports

10.15 billion kWh (2006 est.)

Unemployment Rate

1.6% officially registered unemployed; large number of underemployed workers (2005)

Population Below Poverty Line

Household Income or Consumption by Percentage Share

Lowest 10%: 3.4%

Highest 10%: 23.5% (2002)

Distribution of Family Income Gini Index

29.7 (2002)

Budget

Revenues: $20.75 billion

Expenditures: $20.87 billion (2007 est.)

Central Bank Discount Rate

10% (31 December 2007)

Commercial Bank Prime Lending Rate

Stock of Narrow Money

Stock of Broad Money

Stock of Domestic Credit

$12.16 billion (31 December 2007)

Market Value of Publicly Traded Shares

$NA

Reserves of Foreign Exchange and Gold

$4.266 billion (31 December 2007 est.)

Debt External

$7.347 billion (31 December 2007)

Stock of Direct Foreign Investment at Home

Stock of Direct Foreign Investment Abroad

Exchange Rates

Belarusian rubles (BYB/BYR) per US dollar - 2,145 (2007), 2,144.6 (2006), 2,150 (2005), 2,160.26 (2004), 2,051.27 (2003)
Year

GDP Official Exchange Rate

  • $44.77 billion 2007 est.

GDP Purchasing Power Parity

    $103.5 billion (2007 est.)

GDP Real Growth Rate

    8.2% (2007 est.)

GDP Per Capital

    $10,600 (2007 est.)

Gross National Saving

GDP Composition by end Use

GDP Composition by Sector of Origin

  • Agriculture
    8.7%
  • Industry
    40.6%
  • Services
    50.6% (2007 est.)

Inflation Rate Consumer Prices

    8.4% (2007 est.)

Current Account Balance

    -$2.876 billion (2007 est.)

Exports

    $24.47 billion f.o.b. (2007 est.)

Exports Partners

  • Russia
    36.5%
  • Netherlands
    17.8%
  • UK
    6.3%
  • Ukraine
    6.1%
  • Poland
    5%
  • Latvia
    4.1%

Exports Commodities

    Machinery and equipment, mineral products, chemicals, metals, textiles, foodstuffs

Imports

    $28.32 billion f.o.b. (2007 est.)

Imports Partners

  • Russia
    59.9%
  • Germany
    7.6%
  • Ukraine
    5.4%

Imports Commodities

    Mineral products, machinery and equipment, chemicals, foodstuffs, metals