4 GeoFroggy

Economy Overview

As part of the former Soviet Union, Belarus had a relatively well-developed industrial base, but it is now outdated, inefficient, and dependent on subsidized Russian energy and preferential access to Russian markets. The country’s agricultural base is largely dependent on government subsidies. Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, an initial burst of economic reforms included privatization of state enterprises, creation of private property rights, and the acceptance of private entrepreneurship, but by 1994 the reform effort dissipated. About 80% of industry remains in state hands, and foreign investment has virtually disappeared. Several businesses have been renationalized. State-owned entities account for 70-75% of GDP, and state banks make up 75% of the banking sector.

Economic output declined for several years following the break-up of the Soviet Union, but revived in the mid-2000s. Belarus has only small reserves of crude oil and imports crude oil and natural gas from Russia at subsidized, below market, prices. Belarus derives export revenue by refining Russian crude and selling it at market prices. Russia and Belarus have had serious disagreements over prices and quantities for Russian energy. Beginning in early 2016, Russia claimed Belarus began accumulating debt – reaching $740 million by April 2017 – for paying below the agreed price for Russian natural gas and Russia cut back its export of crude oil as a result of the debt. In April 2017, Belarus agreed to pay its gas debt and Russia restored the flow of crude.

New non-Russian foreign investment has been limited in recent years, largely because of an unfavorable financial climate. In 2011, a financial crisis lead to a nearly three-fold devaluation of the Belarusian ruble. The Belarusian economy has continued to struggle under the weight of high external debt servicing payments and a trade deficit. In mid-December 2014, the devaluation of the Russian ruble triggered a near 40% devaluation of the Belarusian ruble.

Belarus’s economy stagnated between 2012 and 2016, widening productivity and income gaps between Belarus and neighboring countries. Budget revenues dropped because of falling global prices on key Belarusian export commodities. Since 2015, the Belarusian government has tightened its macro-economic policies, allowed more flexibility to its exchange rate, taken some steps towards price liberalization, and reduced subsidized government lending to state-owned enterprises. Belarus returned to modest growth in 2017, largely driven by improvement of external conditions and Belarus issued sovereign debt for the first time since 2011, which provided the country with badly-needed liquidity, and issued $600 million worth of Eurobonds in February 2018, predominantly to US and British investors.

Agriculture Products

grain, potatoes, vegetables, sugar beets, flax; beef, milk

Industries

metal-cutting machine tools, tractors, trucks, earthmovers, motorcycles, synthetic fibers, fertilizer, textiles, refrigerators, washing machines and other household appliances

Industrial Production Growth Rate

5.6% (2017 est.)

Labor Force

4.381 million (2016 est.)

Labor Force by Occupation

Agriculture: 9.7%

Industry: 23.4%

Services: 66.8% (2015 est.)

Unemployment Rate

2017: 0.8%

2016: 1%

Population Below Poverty Line

5.7% (2016 est.)

Household Income or Consumption by Percentage Share

Lowest 10: 3.8%

Highest 10: 21.9% (2008)

Distribution of Family Income Gini Index

2011: 26.5

1998: 21.7

Budget

Revenues: 22.15 billion (2017 est.)

Expenditures: 20.57 billion (2017 est.)

Public Debt

2017: 53.4% of GDP

2016: 53.5% of GDP

Central Bank Discount Rate

19 April 2017: 14%

15 March 2017: 15%

Commercial Bank Prime Lending Rate

31 December 2017: 9.66%

31 December 2016: 14.4%

Stock of Narrow Money

31 December 2017: $3.702 billion

31 December 2016: $2.719 billion

Stock of Broad Money

31 December 2017: $3.702 billion

31 December 2016: $2.719 billion

Stock of Domestic Credit

31 December 2017: $19.81 billion

31 December 2016: $20.65 billion

Market Value of Publicly Traded Shares

<p>NA</p>

Reserves of Foreign Exchange and Gold

31 December 2017: $7.315 billion

31 December 2016: $4.927 billion

Debt External

31 December 2017: $39.92 billion

31 December 2016: $37.74 billion

Stock of Direct Foreign Investment at Home

31 December 2016: $6.929 billion

31 December 2015: $7.241 billion

Stock of Direct Foreign Investment Abroad

31 December 2016: $3.547 billion

31 December 2015: $4.649 billion

Exchange Rates

Currency: Belarusian rubles (BYB/BYR) per US dollar -

Exchange rates:

Year

GDP Official Exchange Rate

  • $54.44 billion 2017 est.

Taxes and Other Revenues

  • 40.7% (of GDP) (2017 est.)

Budget Surplus or Deficit

  • 2.9% (of GDP) (2017 est.)

Fiscal Year

  • calendar year

GDP Purchasing Power Parity

  • 2017
    $179.4 billion
  • 2016
    $175.1 billion
  • 2015
    $179.7 billion

GDP Real Growth Rate

  • 2017
    2.4%
  • 2016
    -2.5%
  • 2015
    -3.8%

GDP Per Capital

  • 2017
    $18,900
  • 2016
    $18,400
  • 2015
    $19,000

Gross National Saving

  • 2017
    24.5% of GDP
  • 2016
    23% of GDP
  • 2015
    25.8% of GDP

GDP Composition by end Use

  • Household consumption
    54.8% (2017 est.)
  • Government consumption
    14.6% (2017 est.)
  • Investment in fixed capital
    24.9% (2017 est.)
  • Investment in inventories
    5.7% (2017 est.)
  • Exports of goods and services
    67% (2017 est.)
  • Imports of goods and services
    -67% (2017 est.)

GDP Composition by Sector of Origin

  • Agriculture
    8.1% (2017 est.)
  • Industry
    40.8% (2017 est.)
  • Services
    51.1% (2017 est.)

Inflation Rate Consumer Prices

  • 2017
    6%
  • 2016
    11.8%

Current Account Balance

  • 2017
    -$931 million
  • 2016
    -$1.669 billion

Exports

  • 2017
    $28.65 billion
  • 2016
    $22.98 billion

Exports Partners

  • Russia
    43.9%
  • Ukraine
    11.5%
  • UK
    8.2%

Exports Commodities

    Machinery and equipment, mineral products, chemicals, metals, textiles, foodstuffs

Imports

  • 2017
    $31.58 billion
  • 2016
    $25.61 billion

Imports Partners

  • Russia
    57.2%
  • China
    8%
  • Germany
    5.1%

Imports Commodities

    Mineral products, machinery and equipment, chemicals, foodstuffs, metals